Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 3.434117 4.010769 4.623746 5.320719 6.088081 6.904135 7.834506
2024-10-27 2.516784 3.292245 4.178906 5.254270 6.509740 7.916228 9.597832
2024-11-03 1.985905 2.886273 3.985489 5.393909 7.118289 9.129838 11.622000
2024-11-10 1.580095 2.544222 3.796313 5.481704 7.631471 10.225096 13.532164
2024-11-17 1.206554 2.166278 3.494523 5.371153 7.859406 10.955509 15.006120
2024-11-24 0.914975 1.840608 3.206633 5.228833 8.008365 11.564667 16.324197
2024-12-01 0.718064 1.614467 3.020142 5.190701 8.269566 12.303607 17.805980
2024-12-08 0.557006 1.409171 2.831154 5.119677 8.464561 12.945103 19.163459
2024-12-15 0.486646 1.348942 2.856457 5.356277 9.087854 14.163316 21.291113
2024-12-22 0.395060 1.225246 2.759460 5.392681 9.417786 14.985870 22.907297
2024-12-29 0.355629 1.199563 2.823234 5.678247 10.114256 16.321585 25.229462
2025-01-05 0.314128 1.158959 2.853777 5.907790 10.730766 17.556190 27.434401
2025-01-12 0.260033 1.076720 2.802751 6.006580 11.164786 18.561904 29.373448
2025-01-19 0.197273 0.950776 2.651530 5.924365 11.316109 19.169042 30.778645
2025-01-26 0.165217 0.897960 2.636427 6.071360 11.824119 20.295307 32.919515
2025-02-02 0.134492 0.836547 2.594223 6.164364 12.245577 21.300754 34.904430
2025-02-09 0.096738 0.731179 2.441054 6.043205 12.314716 21.787031 36.163184
2025-02-16 0.066225 0.630115 2.278614 5.888067 12.315791 22.165355 37.268102
2025-02-23 0.047355 0.562343 2.181569 5.846374 12.497524 22.812079 38.761308
2025-03-02 0.032000 0.494920 2.072027 5.769051 12.611822 23.354232 40.107338
2025-03-09 0.027903 0.491061 2.128100 6.026071 13.303161 24.788270 42.765669
2025-03-16 0.020040 0.451345 2.079956 6.065571 13.617929 25.646670 44.593677
2025-03-23 0.018181 0.456923 2.160142 6.375421 14.411307 27.257207 47.542340